The Macroeconomic Effects of Oil Shocks in Three Latin American Economies

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Juan Carlos Alarcon Galarza
Juan Carlos Molero García
Fernando Pérez de Gracia

Resumen

In this paper we study the impact of oil price shocks on real economic activity and inflation rates in three Latin American economies (Brazil, Colombia and Peru)  using a Vector AutoRegressive (VAR) model over the period 1991:M01-2014:M01. We also consider different oil shock specification. We find a strong and prolonged increase in inflation in Brazil after al oil price shock and negative effect with respect to economic growth. We find less significant results for Colombia and Peru that can be explained by the distorted pass-through of oil price shocks to domestic prices.

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Alarcon Galarza, J. C., Molero García, J. C., & Pérez de Gracia, F. (2019). The Macroeconomic Effects of Oil Shocks in Three Latin American Economies. Cuestiones Económicas, 26(2), Autores: Juan Carlos Alarcon Galarza, Juan Carlos Molero García, Fernando Pérez de Gracia. Recuperado a partir de https://estudioseconomicos.bce.fin.ec/index.php/RevistaCE/article/view/72
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Artículos de Investigación